European Tribune

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Yes, as I've mentioned above, this thing is not limited to the US, though it in some (though not all) ways originated there. The bubble has lifted not only the coastal areas of the US, but Oslo and Shanghai too.

Too many people now have too much to lose if the bubble deflates, and too many people will be permanently in debt or outside the housing market if it doesn't. And it's a global problem at this point.

The reason the article is focused on the US is that the numbers today were from the US; and the centrality of the US monetary policy in keeping the bubble going and the sheer weight of the US economy, means that it is the bellwether for what is to come other places. No US bashing intended. It's just the old truism that is Wall Street has a sniffle, the rest of the world catches pneumonia transcribed to real estate.

Bitsofnews.com Giving you the latest bits.

by Alexander G Rubio (alexander.rubio@gmail.com) on Tue Aug 23rd, 2005 at 04:30:47 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I always thought the US was late to the party when it comes to property. In  much of the US, you can still buy property quite cheaply. The median price for a home is still far below that in Europe. When people talk about housing bubbles in the US (and there is one in Boston, San Fran, LA and NY) I ask them to travel to Padova, Italy, or Barcelona, Spain, or Glifada, Greece. The prices int hese areas in the mid 1990s were astounding. I'm not even going to mention Tokyo or Hong Kong or Vancouver.

That being said, there have been housing booms and busts before but unless you live in hot spots like San Francisco and that area, a housing bust rarely yields appreciable deflation. What we call a bust in the US is really a long period of stagflation.

Even in densely populated and prosperous Connecticut, you can still buy a decent sized home for $270,000. Which sure beats buying a home in Italy and Greece.

by Upstate NY on Wed Aug 24th, 2005 at 09:22:36 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I haven't researched house prices in any detail, however, I suspect a direct comparison is problematic: European housing is probably more expensive without any market trends, because of more expensive building materials and more scarce area to build on.

*Traitor*, n.
A benighted individual who perceives an illusory distinction between serving his nation and abetting the criminals who govern it.
by DoDo on Wed Aug 24th, 2005 at 09:33:24 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I think you hit on the essential differences. However, it is important to note that the European example shows us that people will pay very high prices for property and that housing prices can remain this high because of the demand. The price of a flat in Athens exceeds the average income by much more than the 2, 3 or 4 to 1 factor we've become accustomed to in the US.
by Upstate NY on Wed Aug 24th, 2005 at 09:45:55 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I again don't have statistics on this, but I seem to recall that there is a stark US-European difference in the ratio of homeowners and flat renters. If that is so, then high house prices do make a difference, and would in the USA too.

*Traitor*, n.
A benighted individual who perceives an illusory distinction between serving his nation and abetting the criminals who govern it.
by DoDo on Wed Aug 24th, 2005 at 10:20:49 AM EST
[ Parent ]

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